Reason.com: Does Enforcing the Fourth Amendment Increase Gun Violence?

Reason.com: Does Enforcing the Fourth Amendment Increase Gun Violence? by Jacob Sullum:

The New York Post reports that the “number of New Yorkers struck by bullets” was 9 percent higher in the four weeks following U.S. District Judge Shira Scheindlin’s August 13 ruling against the NYPD’s stop-and-frisk program than in the same period last year. Total shooting incidents were up 13 percent. The Post implausibly presents these numbers as evidence that Scheindlin’s decision had an immediate impact on gun violence.

Scheindlin did not say police could no longer stop someone they reasonably suspect of involvement in criminal activity or that they could no longer frisk someone they reasonably suspect is armed. Instead she concluded that New York cops often stop and frisk people without reasonable suspicion and ordered various reforms, to be implemented under the oversight of an independent monitor, aimed at making such unconstitutional encounters less common. If these reforms work, they will ultimately make cops less inclined to stop and frisk people, and perhaps the ruling itself had such an effect. (The Post does not present data on stops before and after Scheindlin’s ruling.) But it seems unlikely that a significant number of people read Scheindlin’s ruling on August 13 and decided to carry a gun the following day, as the Post implies happened by citing a shooting that occurred on August 14.

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